San Diego State
San Diego State University · 2025 · Mountain West
San Diego State went 9-4 and was ranked 47th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 21st-ranked defense carried them, with an 89th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 62% of offensive plays with a 55th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with an 114th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stony Brook | Coastal Athletic | — | W 42–0 | +29.1 | 100% | 8.0 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Washington State | Pac-12 | #56 | L 13–36 | -2.5 | 0% | -12.6 | Q2 |
| 4 | vs California | ACC | #77 | W 34–0 | +12.1 | 100% | 26.3 | Q4 |
| 5 | @ Northern Illinois | Mid-American | #126 | W 6–3 | +19.5 | 100% | -11.8 | Q4 |
| 6 | vs Colorado State | Mountain West | #130 | W 45–24 | +23.9 | 100% | 12.2 | Q4 |
| 7 | @ Nevada | Mountain West | #125 | W 44–10 | +19.5 | 100% | 24.7 | Q4 |
| 9 | @ Fresno State | Mountain West | #66 | W 23–0 | +8.5 | 100% | 22.4 | Q4 |
| 10 | vs Wyoming | Mountain West | #112 | W 24–7 | +18.9 | 100% | 0.6 | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Hawai'i | Mountain West | #63 | L 6–38 | +6.7 | 0% | -32.3 | Q3 |
| 12 | vs Boise State | Mountain West | #46 | W 17–7 | +4.0 | 100% | 12.1 | Q3 |
| 13 | vs San José State | Mountain West | #123 | W 25–3 | +22.2 | 100% | 4.5 | Q4 |
| 14 | @ New Mexico | Mountain West | #51 | L 17–23 | +2.2 | 0% | 1.6 | Q3 |
| Postseason | ||||||||
| — | vs North Texas | American Athletic | #21 | L 47–49 | -8.8 | 0% | 4.9 | Q1 |
13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on San Diego State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 23rd · Finishing 99th
Field position 16th · Finishing 28th
1.87 points per drive on offense, 1.09 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(201) | 41% / 59% | 43% | 5.5 |
| Q2(223) | 41% / 59% | 48% | 7.6 |
| Q3(211) | 35% / 65% | 45% | 5.3 |
| Q4(209) | 32% / 68% | 34% | 4.7 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(121) | 10.3 | 43% | 7.9 |
| 2nd(95) | 7.9 | 42% | 8.3 |
| 3rd(82) | 7.9 | 21% | 3.0 |
| 4th(16) | 7.1 | 31% | 4.5 |
| All (314) | — | 36% | 6.6 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(249) | 10.0 | 47% | 6.1 |
| 2nd(182) | 7.2 | 42% | 5.2 |
| 3rd(87) | 6.0 | 45% | 4.1 |
| 4th(12) | 1.7 | 83% | 3.6 |
| All (530) | — | 46% | 5.4 |
San Diego State, all games.